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kitler53 said:


it's going to be really easy to prove/disprove and in pretty short order. 

MS claims 3M as of Dec 31.    MS is legally obligated to provide correct shipment numbers in their financials.   We know MS had quite a bit of stock on the shelves (especially in europe).  as VGCzers we know retail channels can have upwards of ~1M units but with the limited amount of territories and that the US was somewhat supply contraint the end of the year channel probably had ~200K units.

shipment = sellthough + retail.

 

so if shipment = 3.0M we know they said sellthrough when it was actually shipment.

if shipment is 3.2M+ we know the number 3M number truely was sellthough

 

 

when to financials release?


the number of countries is pretty irrelevant here I would think. I mean, MS did it to focus and have enough stock in their major markets and the other countries MS is missing wouldnt total to be a whole lot considering majority of sales come from US/UK. Also, MS may have shortage in parts of US but I can assure you that there is plenty of stock in Chicagoland area with some Targets having 30-40 on hand the day after Christmas. I think your 200k figure is way too low. Maybe 400-500k