Weekly Hardware 28th Dec 2013

[Michael-5]

chocoloco said:

Michael-5 said:

No I say Mario Kart is about as addictive as Heroin.

But seriously Super Mario 3D Worlds did elevate WiiU's status from "Doomed" to "Doing alright." A Couple more CC's of quality games and that could change to "Pretty good." I know PS4 will outsell the WiiU in only a few months, but I'm being hopeful that the WiiU can hold off XBO until those games arrive, and then outsell it on a weekly basis (not just 1 week) there on after.

PS4 & XBO, unlike the WiiU, have very few quality exclusives announced, they already pulled out there big guns. XBO has Titanfall, which is also available on PC/360, and PS4 has InFamous, a series which typically sells only around 2 million copies per game. They might get more stuff in fall 2014, but so might WiiU

Mario Kart on the other hand statistically sells 1/3rd as many units as there are consoles available (+30 million on the Wii, but only 7 & 10 million on the Gamecube & N64). Smash Bros as well is a guarenteed 5 million seller. These games won't push sales for 1 week, they will push sales for years.

Hopium.   I do not disagree with most of that, but I am saying the Mario kart and Smash sales will mirror the gamecube making it a lot less significant to the whole market as were these games significance on the Wii .

I also think the ones sales will drop due to price after the first six months or so (completely arbitrary guess) as the most enthusiastic gamers that do not care about price will have bought the console. The more price contious consumers will not be as motivated to buy the most expensive machine.

Maybe, but even on Gamecube these two franchises still sold around 7 million units each, they will push consoles.

XBO's sales will drop in January/February since all the christmas hype has died down, and most people who wanted the console already have it. WiiU won't drop as much because Donkey Kong releases on February, and games like Mario will keep sales up for months.

More price conscientious will buy PS4's in January/February (when retailers told me they would have PS4 in stock). Thus I expect XBO's sales to fall the most out of the 3, and thus I expect WiiU to be able to keep up with XBO, but fall far behind PS4.