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The 2014 holidays are a given for decent sales, we have seen that already last year. It hinges on whether Wii U can beat out the terrible sales it had from Jan- Sept. Im confident it can beat those quite easily.
If Wii U can stay popular in Japan, solid in America and have a boost in Europe, there is no reason why it cant be sitting on 11-12 million sold by the end of 2014.