By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close
TornadoCreator said:
globalisateur said:
TornadoCreator said:

Summary:

The PS4 will win the generation, with strong sales across the board. It will have market dominance in Europe, Australia, and India and a strong ~40% market share in Japan. In USA it'll be close second, but with enough third party support that it may overtake Xbox One by the end of the eighth generation.

The Xbox One will have a strong following in USA and will remain the de-facto home for FPS gamers with Halo, Titanfall, and even Call Of Duty/Battlefield/Destiny (despite being multiplat), because of Xbox Live. Outside of the North American market it will be a distant third place, particularly in Japan where it will likely be discontinued by 2018. Microsoft is however the most likely company to move some of it's production to Brazil given Sony's financial situation, so may claim the Latin American market. If so, the Xbox One may still be a success.

Wii U will sell well in Japan, likely having the largest market share, and will have a decent following in Europe as the default second place. Globally however it will be the third place console, with poor sales in North America, no movement into additional markets, and a lack of third party support. It will likely be perceived in a similar vein to the Gamecube, however 3DS sales, and strong first party software will ensure that Nintendo remain profitable, although there is a risk that many, perfectly decent Wii U games will be denied localisation outside of Japan.

This generation will be a battle for second place between the Xbox One and the Wii U.

Let me know what you think of my analysis and opinion, if you agree or disagree and why. I'm no industry expert so my opinions are subject to change if people have information I've not considered.


You may be wrong here. Because the multiplat shooters are already selling better in USA on PS4, slightly better for COD, but still better, and easily better for BF4.

I expect that Destiny will sell a lot better on PS4 than X1 like BF4. The probable resolution/performance difference between the 2 version and the great DS4 controller will also help that.

And also PS4 hardware is already winning easily while being sold out everywhere in USA so how do you think that PS4 will be close second? Maybe when Titanfall is released, ok.

X1 may win back some gamers with Halo 5 and Titanfall 1 I admit, when they are released, helping the X1 to be head to head with PS4 on USA. Until Titanfall 2 is out on PS4 of course.

I just think that there's enough of a following surrounding Xbox Live, the gamerscore, achievements and the like for the hardcore Xbox 360 crowd to migrate to PS4. It's possible sure, and PS4 is selling better at the moment, but once Halo, Titanfall, and a new Gears Of War game hit, the Xbots will all move over. There is a shockingly large number of gamers out there who play Fifa/Madden (depending on country), Call Of Duty, Halo, and pretty much nothing else. They may very occationally pick up something like GTA V, but that's rare. For these gamers, the apparently more reliable servers and better service for online gaming that Xbox Live offers over PSN is a big draw. Now granted, I don't play online, so this is all based on prevailing attitudes, but I think the online system might just be enough to push this overly large segment of gaming toward the Microsoft camp.

 

Gear Of War is no more exclusive, if they want to make an other, it will be on PS4



Predictions for end of 2014 HW sales:

 PS4: 17m   XB1: 10m    WiiU: 10m   Vita: 10m