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thekin said:

I kind of agree with what the op said, I really don't see the systems selling up last gen this time around, my reason is this
1. The market is getting smaller - people don't like to talk about it but look that what is happening, remove the wii from the calculation seeing that we are only talking about "hardcore gamer" ps2, Xbox and GameCube sold a combined amount of roughly 200mil, ps3 and 360 only sold so far 160mil and remember this systems have been on the market far pas the ps2 and Xbox 

I have said this before: Wii brought consoles to the houses in a way it would have never been possible without it, since most people were happy with their PS2s. Then it (the Wii) started to get a drought and/or people got tired of its technical limitations and bought other consoles. At least it got people's attention to home consoles again, that being good for the whole of the market.

Plus, I think there is still a lot of room for PS360 to keep selling (the 8 year old fact is not putting buyers away: look at the charts), unless they cut the strings, wihch I sincerely doubt someone will with those install bases. For the regular Joe, they are still quite advanced. If another Wii phenomena doesn't come out or something really special happes, the console business is not gonna repeat what it did past gen.