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It looks like after December Xbone can take the lead (most agree XB1 has more supply in Dec). If XBO outsells PS4 by more than ~200k in Dec, XBO will have the lead after the holidays.

Then in spring PS4 should surge ahead again perhaps if they can meet demand.

Then Titanfall in march could be the next gamechanger. But we will see.

I think a lot depends on how fast MS will cut the price to 399. If it's by holiday 2014 they may be ok.