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This really depends on how MS and Sony supply their consoles across their launch markets...

X1 is only shipping in 13 countries while PS4 is in above 30 countries. and it looks like MS is going to delay further rollouts while Sony is going to continue to spread itself out...

It is only logic that if both manufacturers are only capable of producing (about) Y number of consoles that in a market like the US where MS has a strong presence they will sell just as much if not more than Sony assuming they are allocating their consoles to less countries.

Also, MS may allocate more consoles to the US because demand is strong there and maybe not as strong in other countries, whereas Sony might choose not to because their demand may be too strong in every country...

Assuming demand is outpacing supply for both consoles in the US, Sony will probably find themselves falling behind MS in the US. Simply because they are shipping in more countries and may not be able to allocate as much supply to the US market due to the demand in other countries.

It is a difficult issue for Sony. If they start to give US more supply then other countries this could be seen as ignoring other markets they have entered. MS could use that as a marketing tool in the other countries to increase their demand.