Next Gen Sales - We don't really know anything or Do we?

[cusman]

Smart post. Here are my thoughts

The PS-Vita failing vs. 3DS makes sense only because of the software. I really don't think the price difference between 3DS XL and Vita is that significant. The main disadvantage of Vita vs. 3DS is that you don't have AAA 3rd party efforts on Vita (like you get on PS3/X360/XBO/PS4).

The 3DS is awesome because Nintendo has provided some amazing software for it that work perfectly for a handheld and then 3rd parties have also provided some excellent games for it.

Now looking at "next-gen"

The Wii U has amazing games from Nintendo, and not much support from 3rd parties

The XBO and PS4 will be receiving some excellent games from MS and Sony respective, but also get AAA 3rd party support.

Whatever advantage the Wii U has will quickly erode away if the AAA 3rd Party support doesn't give Wii U anything

Current Pros & Cons for Wii U

Pros:
* $100 cheaper than PS4. But less once you add external HDD to Wii U
* Current exclusive software lineup is substantially better

Cons:
* EA already abandoned Wii U completely in 2013 after having really just Mass Effect 3 and couple sports in 2012
* Take-Two doesn't do anything with Nintendo
* Activision, Ubisoft, Warner Bros, Konami, Capcom, Square Enix all had horrible sales success on Wii U in 2013

Can the Wii U survive against XBO and PS4 when it lacks EA but has Nintendo? I think so... but what if Activision, Ubisoft, and others also pull support? No... at that point it will be completely out of mind except for the few times a year a Nintendo game releases.