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Mummelmann on 06 December 2013
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yvanjean said:
Fusioncode said:

Dude. WiiU launched that week last year in Japan...

^This. Half of those sales were because of the launch week in Japan. 250k is a generous estimate for WiiU. 


I guess I was wrong by looking at last year number since I din't account for the Japan launch.

But still Historically Nintendo best month is December about 2.5x the numbers in November.

In the month of December most of the sales are completed before Xmas. 

November 2013 WiiU's sold is 530K. December estimate is then 1,325,000 (530K * 2.5). 

1,325,000 / 4 weeks = 331250. But i'm assuming that the first week is the best week so maybe my estimate for next week will then be 350-400K.

 


It will not have average weekly sales over 330k, you need to take off about 100-80 at least. The Wii U sells the vast majority of consoles in NA now, last week, Europe moved 1/5 as many units as NA and Japan about 25% below that again. With that in mind and the traditional steep drop from BF week into December in NA, there is no cause in the world to think that the Wii U will be able to manage averages well above BF week.

350-400k was my guess scenario for BF week since October (and was off by some measure), there is no concieveable way that it will do this in the first week of December. It will be a lot closer to half of 400k than the actual 400k. If I had to guess, I'd say next week should see sales of 200k-ish, slightly below or slightly above. Low baseline with large percentage-wise spike on BF week = larger percentage-wise drop towards original baseline after BF week, especially with NA numbers being as important as they currently are for the global total (European numbers were about 40% of the PS3 last week, not amazing if I'm honest).