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AT the current rate, it'd take a few years. But the current rate won't be the contnuing rate, and there are two many variables to make an accurate prediction. The soonest it could happen would be 2009, and that's assuming everything breaks Sony's way over the next 18 months, and MS does little or nothing to effectively respond. An unforseen hit title, a steeper than expected price cut, and MS could stay in the lead until 2010, at which point the gaming community will be too focused on the NeXBox to care when the PS3 passes it.