I'm going to let you guys in on a little secret -- Nintendo KNOWS full well they're not hitting that forecast. They know they're not even coming close. They pulled that 9 mill number out of their butts a year ago just to placate shareholders. They've known for months that it ain't happening. They're not stupid.
So why not fess up and revise the forecast downwards?
Lets say you've accidentally misplaced your wife's favorite dress while moving things around. Ruh-roh, you're in trouble right? Now you can tell her immediately or you can wait a week and tell her after you've booked that vacation to go to Paris and Rome, which you know she's been asking you to take her for ages.
Simply put, Nintendo knows they are going to take it on the chin with the Wii U forecast, but if they can make hay (specifically with the 3DS) this holiday and post some OK profits, then investors won't be as unhappy about the whole situation come next March.
That's all that's going on. If they were to slash forecasts on Wii U in September on top of posting weak earnings, it looks even worse, if they announce bad Wii U sales next March, but the sales are starting to improve slightly (because they can't get any worse than the Jan-September period) and you have some nice profits to report from Pokemon X/Y and holiday 3DS/2DS sales .... well suddenly it's not such a bitter pill for investors to swallow.
