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BHR-3 said:
when what saw with the wii was what many sales forecasters like myself where at the time (2008) calling a fad it just took 2-3 more yrs for it to be seen in the data.

And you were wrong.

The Wii would have been a fad if it fizzled out in 2009. But it didn't; it had a normal console lifespan.