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I think the WiiU has a window of opportunity over the next six months. It needs to gain some momentum through the holiday (by milking Super Mario 3D World for all it's worth), it needs DKTF to be great and it needs Mario Kart 8 and Smash Bros to follow in quick succession and for them to be great too.

Do all of those things and I think the WiiU could genuinely gain some traction by being the cheapest next-gen system with a decent bunch of must-have exclusives. Do all of those things and I think it will be some time before XB1 has a chance to overtake the WiiU.

Follow that up with a solid E3, including playable Zelda plus some surprises e.g. Starfox, F-Zero, Waverace, Metroid teaser etc., in addition to what has already been announced and then we are potentially getting into territory where it might never be caught.

Fail to do those things and it will get slowly overtaken. Do all of those things and it's still hard to imagine Sony not being far in front.