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Smidlee said:
shams said:
The statement is quite true. But just like with the PS2 - the console that ends up with a significant lead in the install base, ends up being the one that "wins".

The difference this time, is that there is a significant "gap" between the Wii & 360/PS3 technically - whereas the PS2/XBOX gap was much smaller.

So there is nothing stopping software from doing well on the 360/PS3, which can't really be done on the Wii.

...

It does, however - get *really* interesting if Ninty bring out a "360 spec'd" Wii in 2 years - full backwards compat, etc. Especially if they can do it cheaper.

No doubt Wii is a huge success but like you point out this generation is different than any other generation as both the wii and ps3/360 has to something offer to gamers but it two different directions. Wii-mote / family games (lots of mini-game) vs PS3/360 pc resolution graphics and DD5.1 sound. 

Still if the Big N does decide to bring out a update hardware in the next coming years it would have to then compete with a huge PS3/360 base. So in the klong run on the basic hardware side (not including wii-mote) ps3/360  already has a huge lead  on Nintendo.

 


No, it wouldn't have to compete with the current consoles, because by the time Nintendo comes with a new console, so will the others. Sony and Microsoft won't make the same mistake again, and will drastically decrease the power increase from this gen to the next as compared to the one we saw from PS2 -> PS3.

Nintendo's next console, WiiHD, will be far more powerfull (imo) than 360: Nintendo has the money, the brandname (Wii) and has always had a technichally competative console.

So next Nintendo will be much closer in power to next MS/Sony consoles. But the big difference is that next time the 3rd party devs WILL stand in line to develop for Nintendo's console.

Sony and Microsoft will certainly keep a chunk of the market, especially the FPS/violent market, but they have to totally re-image to get more access to the casuals. If Nintendo bundles WiiSportsHD with WiiHD for $250,- they'll have even more success.