10 Week Countdown 2013

[Michael-5]

non-gravity has asked me to do the 10 Week Countdown for him this year so he can have time to play actual video games. Sorry for the delay, I had a busy October, I will be very careful on being up to date for the next 12 weeks until the end of the year. Now without furthur delay, here is one of VGC's biggest threads!

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Here once again is the 10 week countdown. The idea is to make hardware sales predictions for the last and most interesting 10 weeks of the year. This year we will do predictions for PS3, X360, 3DS, PSV, WiiU, PS4, and One. However this thread can also basically be a discussion about what we all expect for the last ten weeks of the year. This feature has been somewhat of a tradition starting in 2007, having since been hosted by TWRoO, non-gravity, and myself.

This year the final ten weeks run from the week ending November 2nd to the week ending January 4th. Going by the calendar this is set 1 day earlier than last year, which was the 10 weeks ending January 5th. Black Friday has also shifted 1 week back as well since November ends at the end of the week now instead of the middle. This means that unlike previous years Black Friday falls in week 5 (last year it was week 4). (keep in mind that the "week ending" dates refer to the Saturday, which is when the tracking week ends for America and Europe, but Japan tracking ends on a Sunday, so add 1 day onto the dates below)

Week 1: 27th Oct – 2nd Nov
Week 2: 3rd Nov - 9th Nov
Week 3: 10th Nov - 16th Nov
Week 4: 17th Nov - 23rd Nov
Week 5: 24th Nov – 30th Nov
Week 6: 1st Dec – 7th Dec
Week 7: 8th Dec - 14th Dec
Week 8: 15th Dec – 21st Dec
Week 9: 22nd Dec - 28th Dec
Week 10: 29th Dec – 4th Jan

Here is a table showing important games and events that could affect the weekly sales. Please tell me if I'm missing something important. 




Here are some sales comparisons to help anyone wanting to make a prediction. Note, I obtained the following data from this article, and info from past 10 week countdowns. In this article, Q1-Q3 accounts for weeks 1-39 (non-gravity included a 40th week, which shouldn't be there).

 

The following show the weekly sales for the last 10 weeks of 2011 and 2012 as well as the 3 weeks leading up to and one week following them in thousands of units. The 2012 tables below has been updated, as of October 7th, 2013, the 2011 table, a year before that.