Q3 2013 Hardware Analysis (VGC Exclusive)

[Michael-5]

What to expect for Q4

PS3 surpassed the 360 in Q2 2013. The gap between PS3 and 360 will likely grow as PS3 continues to receive support from Sony and Japanese developers, where 360 has been largely abandoned by Microsoft, and the poor XB One debut has hurt the brands reputation. Expect both consoles to overtake PSP and maybe even GBA during Q4. Don't expect PS3 and 360 to keep up with their sales level last year, Q3 values are only high because of GTAV, and with the release of PS4/XB One, PS3/360 sales will likely suffer. Expect 360 to overtake Wii in North America, and PS3 to overtake Wii in Europe.

WiiU could do really bad or really good in Q4, it's too early to tell. The price cut and Wind Waker bundle have helped the WiiU outside of Japan, but inside of Japan WiiU never saw a price cut and is struggling. Wii Fit U will likely boost sales, but not as much as Wii Fit did for the Wii. It's very likely that WiiU will have weak sales until the launch of Super Mario 3D Worlds, which will likely place WiiU sales above the Gamecube at the very least. Expect moderate sales from WiiU, and WiiU to top 360 sales in Japan.

VGC give PS1 a 104.25 million units sold value for PS1, but I have no clue where they obtained it. VGC had it at 102.49 for the longest time, the same confirmed value by Sony, and the same value listed on Wikipedia, so I assume this is an error. Regardless, Wii is only 2.26 million from that goal, but if Wii only sells 40% as well as it did in Q4 2012, then Wii will still be 1.26 million behind PS1. It's difficult to say if Wii will ever outsell the PS1, it's very likely that Wii will come short of PS1 much like DS came short of PS2. Expect Wii to sell about 1 million units in Q4 2013 and creep up on PS1 total sales figures over the next 12 months.

DS is done, but PSP still has life. If PSP continues to sell 66% as well as it did last year (it probably won't though) that means PSP will gain 1.1 million units. Since the PSP to GBA gap is only 1.63 million, this means that it's very likely that PSP will outsell the GBA in 2014. Expect PSP to outsell GBA in 2014.

PSV.....I have no clue, hope and pray, competition makes better games and if PSV goes, then Nintendo might not put as much effort into their handheld games. PSV should be okay in 2014 thanks to the PSV Slim, the WW price cut, and the Vita TV launching in Japan.

3DS however is the most interesting story. Currently it's 9.9% behind itself in 2012, however this gap was only 3% at the start of the quarter. Despite the launch of the 3DS last year, 3DS has managed to keep up with itself. With 3DS selling better YoY now thanks to Monster Hunter in Japan, and Pokemon & 2DS in the rest of the world, this gap will likely disappear as early as this month! Expect 3DS sales to grow, and be the only console with a Year on Year growth.

Best Selling Video Game Consoles

The following section shows Hardware sales up to the last week of September in 2013. Bolded are the increase in sales for currently selling consoles. I will bold the entire row when one console overtakes another in overall place

Note: Release Dates are for North America, the bolded values beside some consoles represent the number of units sold since the last update.

1 – 157.68 million - Sony Playstation 2 (October 26th, 2000)
2 – 154.78 million - Nintendo DS (November 21st, 2004) (Plus 0.30 million)
3 – 118.69 million - Nintendo Gameboy and Gameboy Color (GB-August 1989, GBC-November 1998)
4 – 102.49 million - Sony Playstation (September 9th, 1995)
5 – 100.23 million - Nintendo Wii (November 19th, 2006) (Plus 0.26 million)
6 – 81.51 million - Nintendo Gameboy Advance (June 11th, 2001)
7 – 79.88 million - Sony Playstation Portable (March 24th, 2005) (Plus 0.54 million)
8 – 79.73 million - Sony Playstation 3 (November 11th 2006) (Plus 1.65 million)
9 – 78.73 million - Microsoft X-Box 360 (November 22nd, 2005) (Plus 0.94 million)
10 – 61.91 million - Nintendo Entertainment System (US-October 18th, 1985, Can-February 1986)
11 – 49.10 million - Super Nintendo Entertainment System (August 13th 1991)
12 – 34.46 million – Nintendo 3DS (March 27^th, 2011) (Plus 2.17 million)
13 – 32.93 million - Nintendo 64 (September 29th, 1996)
14 – 29.54 million - Sega Mega Drive/Genesis (August 14th, 1989)
15 – 27.64 million - Atari 2600 (October, 1977)
16 – 24.65 million - Microsoft X-Box (November 15th, 2001)
17 – 21.74 million - Nintendo Gamecube (November 18th, 2001)
18 – 13.00 million - Sega Master System (October 1986)
19 – 10.62 million - Sega GameGear (1991)
20 – 10.00 million - Nippon Electric Company TurboGrafx-16 (August 29th, 1989)
21 – 8.82 million - Sega Saturn (May 11th 1995)
22 – 8.20 million - Sega Dreamcast (September 9th, 1999)
23 – 6.00 million - Coleco ColecoVision (August 1982)
24 – 6.00 million - Sega CD (October 15th 1992)
25 – 5.78 million – Playstation Vita (February 15^th, 2012) (Plus 0.25 million)
26 - 4.30 million – Atari 7800 (June 1984)
27 – 3.59 million - Nintendo WiiU (November 18^th, 2012) (Plus 0.38 million)
28 – 3.00 million – Color TV Game (1977)
28 – 3.00 million - Mattel Intellivision (1980)
28 – 3.00 million - Nokia N-Gage (October 7th, 2003)
31 – 2.00 million - Panasonic 3DO Interactive Multiplayer (September 1993)
31 – 2.00 million - SNK Neo-Geo Pocket, and Neo-Geo Pocket Colour (1998)
33 – 1.50 million - Nippon Electric Company TurboExpress (1990)
34 - 1.12 million – Namco Bandai WonderSwan (1999)
35 – 1.00 million - Sega Nomad (October 1995)
36 - 0.77 million - Nintendo Virtual Boy (August 14th 1995)
37 - 0.57 million - Phillips CDi (1991)
38 - 0.50 million - Atari Lynx (September 1989)
39 - 0.30 million - Tiger Electronics Game.com (September 1997)
40 - 0.25 million - Atari Jaguar (November 18th 1993)
41 - 0.20 million - Sega 32X (November 1994)
42 - 0.042 million - Apple Pippin (1995)
43 - 0.025 million - Tiger Telematics Gizmondo (March 19th 1995)
44 - 0.015 million - Nintendo 64 Disk Drive (December 1st 1999- Japan Only)

Current Generation Regional Console Sales

USA

1 – 52.45 million - Nintendo DS (Plus 0.11 million)
2 – 49.11 million – Sony PS2 - 6th Gen
3 – 40.90 million - Nintendo Wii (Plus 0.13 million)
4 – 39.24 million - Xbox 360 (Plus 0.38 million)
5 – 24.19 million - Sony PS3 (Plus 0.30 million)
6 – 19.65 million - Sony PSP (Plus 0.02 million)
7 – 8.24 million – Nintendo 3DS (Plus 0.62 million) - 8th Gen
8 – 1.27 million – Sony PSV – (Plus 0.03 million) - 8th Gen
9 – 1.12 million – Nintendo WiiU – (Plus 0.03 million) - 8^th Gen

Europe

1 – 54.08 million – Sony PS2 - 6th Gen
2 – 52.07 million - Nintendo DS (Plus 0.02 million)
3 – 33.35 million - Nintendo Wii (Plus 0.17 million)
4 – 31.90 million - Sony PS3 (Plus 0.68 million)
6 – 24.68 million - Xbox 360 (Plus 0.23 million)
5 – 23.70 million - Sony PSP (Plus 0.04 million)
7 – 9.20 million – Nintendo 3DS (Plus 0.77 million) - 8th Gen
8 – 1.88 million – Sony PSV – (Plus 0.06 million) - 8th Gen
9 – 0.76 million – Nintendo WiiU – (Plus 0.13 million) - 8^th Gen

Japan

1 – 33.01 million - Nintendo DS
2 – 23.18 million – Sony PS2 - 6th Gen
3 – 19.86 million - Sony PSP (Plus 0.22 million)
6 – 12.93 million – Nintendo 3DS (Plus 1.39 million) - 8th Gen
4 – 12.74 million - Nintendo Wii (Plus 0.03 million)
5 – 9.52 million - Sony PS3 (Plus 0.29 million)
8 – 1.81 million – Sony PSV (Plus 0.33 million) - 8th Gen
7 - 1.65 million - Xbox 360 (Minus 0.01 million)
9 – 1.08 million – Nintendo WiiU (Plus 0.22 million) - 8^th Gen