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If they had made basically a "standard next gen" console (or a modern Super NES if you prefer that) and really been more prepared software wise and just given third parties a more PC-like architecture to work with I think they'd be sitting pretty right now.

They could have a $299.99 console versus a $399.99 PS4 and a $499.99 XB1 with probably a 7-8 million unit head start which would only rise this holiday.

I think Sony/MS would not be able to overtake Nintendo until mid-2015 at the earliest, and that's assuming that Nintendo drops like a rock.

They very easily could've ran away with this thing if they had been more aggressive.