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Interesting topic with a lot of work put into the OP. Good job.

The Mario Kart numbers for Wii massively skew the average for that particular IP, though.

If Wii-U went on to be a SNES-level success, it'd have to sell better than the Mario Kart on SNES + another 5 million to reach the "average" for the series, just because the Wii version was so much higher than all of the others. Which in turns is so much higher because of bundling.