Can Wii U meet average Nintendo HW/SW sales?

[JWeinCom]

Soundwave said:

I think Wii U is selling 28-30 million total. The amount of casual gamers coming back that you have is highly optimistic IMO, that ain't gonna happen.

Mario Kart 8 - 9-10 million
NSMBU - 7 million
Smash Bros. U - 7.5 million
Super Mario 3D World - 6.5 million
DKC: TF - 3.5 million
Wonderful 101 - 150k (sadly)
Bayonetta 2 - 300k

Wii Fit U - 800k

Personally I think Zelda is a declining franchise. Twilight Princess was inflated by the Wii's early success, the next Zelda is not going to have the benefit of that. Expect sales more in line with Skyward Sword or less unless they really do something with the franchise that's mindblowing.

Wii Fit Plus sold 200K+ this year alone.  With no promotion on a dead system when the game itself is a three year old remake of like a 6 year old game.  Bayonetta is going to sell less than half of madworld (I guess all the casuals on Wii made mad world a success?).  Wonderful 101 will sell about 4X what Need for Speed Most Wanted.  New Super Mario Bros U (745k ytd) will sell 7 million worldwide (guess it's not going to pick up at all with the holiday lineup). 

This of course is all based on the ridiculous premise that "Wii U doesn't sell when there are no games or marketing so it won't sell when there are games and marketing plus a price cut".  Ah well.  Silliness like this will make it more fun when sales pick up.