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I believe MS and Sony basically will devide a market share of about 40% each between them, with Nintendo lagging slightly behind with about 20%. I do not think this coming generation will sell even close to the current one, unless they all step up their game and offer something that is more than just an upgrade to the current generation.

This coming generation will also be heavily front-loaded (just look at WiiU) and I even have a hard time seeing any of them having a year where they sell upwards of 10-15 million.