The 3DS and the Wii U are indeed very different situations, been saying this all along. Don't know about your numbers, one can't expect home consoles and handhelds to follow the same exact patterns but your overall point still stands.
Personally, I think the Wii U won't drop that drastically in the weeks before the price cut, but I also think that the increase on the actual price cut week won't be as dramatic, certainly no where near 800%.
And, yes, I fully expect 2014 sales to be poor overall, even if and when the Wii U gets an inevitable boost over the holidays.
This happens every year with at least one console, it sells poorly through the year and then has a decent holiday.
People go; "told you! It's saved!" and then sales plummet again after new years and people are baffled, time after time.
If the price cut occurs alongside a big game release, the Wii U should easily nudge and even pass the 100k mark, but that's not really a feat to be lauded at this point, those numbers should be the average through Q1 and Q3 at the very least. As time goes by and people insist that the Vita is dead and that the Wii U will be fine and pull a 3DS, I can't help but cling all the harder to my initial prediction and outlook for the Wii U, not for the hell of it but simply because it is, by all appearances, most likely to happen.
I guess 2014 will answer a lot of questions and the launch of a new Playstation and Xbox will make things a lot more interesting for sure. Not that I'm expecting either of those to shake the foundations of the earth, but at this point they really don't have to in order to catch and beat Nintendo in the race.
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