zorg1000 said:
When was the last time a mainline Mario or DK sold so little? Every mainline console Donkey Kong game in the last 20 years has sold over 5 milliom with the exception of DKC3. Every 3D Mario has sold 6-12 million. Not sure what makes u think those series will all of a sudden sell half of what they consistently sell. |
When was the last time Nintendo had a system performing as badly as the Wii U? Never. Well Virtual Boy, but that never got any of these big franchises so we can pretty much ignore it.
Look at NSMBU. It's at 2 million and with legs could make it to 3 or so. When the other games in the series are at 29 mil on DS and 27 on Wii, and 6 mil on the 3DS. That franchise scales perfectly to the instal base of console. Of course there are many other factors to consider, but it shows these games can drop in sales by a huge amount. It makes Pez's prediction plausible.
However since the 3DS is Nintendo's most recent console to get these games, we can make predictions based off sales ratios from say 3D Mario to 2D Mario, using NSMBU as a base (3 mil since I'm caring for long term sales). This gives us only 4 million sales for Super Mario 3D World. That is perfectly within Pezuzezs prediction. Only math, no biased opinions on this one. This technique puts Mario Kart 8 right under 4 million. Donkey Kong only has the remake on 3DS so we can't use its numbers, but based off the Wii game sales ratio, it should be not too much above a million.
