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I expect the Wii Worldwide and specifically in the Other/European market to speed up a bit in catching the 360 through early August.  Past August, the rate will drop to below what it is in terms of catch up in the world market because of stronger 360 sales in the Americas.  Europe will see more gains for Wii and PS3, so that when combined with Japan, Wii will still be catching up worldwide.

Essentially you can break it down like this:

Speed of Sales & Time Frame..as a chart (Jan 1- Aug 1 2007):

Rate of Sales           Americas             Japan          Europe/Others           Overall

Very Slow                                           360

Slow                                                                             360                 

Normal                                                                                                      360

Fast                         360                                               Wii

Very Fast                 Wii                        Wii                                                Wii  

 

(August 1-Dec 31 2007)

Rate of Sales          Americas             Japan           Europe/Others         Overall

Very Slow

Slow                                                  360

Normal                                                                         360

Fast                                                                             Wii                      360

Very Fast                360, Wii                Wii                                               Wii

The changes in sales rates later in the year will greatly impact how wide a lead Wii gets over 360...



People are difficult to govern because they have too much knowledge.

When there are more laws, there are more criminals.

- Lao Tzu