| S.T.A.G.E. said: Why so serious? Scratch 30 years...make it 46 years after this year ends. You must also remember hispanic does not signify a "race" just ethnic background. When i say majority, they will lead the minority birthrate and immigration, meaning the immigrant numbers will increase but hsipanics will obviously lead the way. The caucasian populace outnumbers all ethnic minorities today but because of the rapid increase via immigration and birthrate hispanics will lead the rest of the minorities to be more than the caucasian population. This means that by that time a good chunk of the nation will be bilingual (especially in the south and western portions of the US). This means the movie is not wrong that in 2154 hispanics will by themselves by the majority in the nation without other minorities. http://www.nytimes.com/2012/12/13/us/us-will-have-no-ethnic-majority-census-finds.html?_r=0 The Hispanic population is expected to more than double during that time, to 128.8 million in 2060 from 53.3 million now. In 2060 nearly one in three residents will be Hispanic, up from about one in six now. (People who identify themselves as Hispanic may be any race.) The black population is expected to increase to 61.8 million from 41.2 million over the same period, with its share of the population rising slightly. And the Asian population is expected to double, to 34.4 million in 2060 from 15.9 million now, with its share of the population climbing to 8.1 percent from 5.1 percent. |
First of all, whether there is even a US by that point is heavily in doubt. 30 years from now, 46 years from now, or (LOL, way to move those goalposts) 141 years from now.
Secondly, there are 310+ million people right now. 128.8 million is not even half of the present population, let alone the population in 2060.
Third:
This all assumes the same historic or present growth of those demographic groups. But since this projected population growth relies so heavily on immigration and, for example, Asian immigration could slow to a trickle if (a) Asia becomes a more desirable place to live and (b) fertility rates continue to crater and the continent rapidly ages. Ditto for Latin American immigration. You may have heard that fertility rates in Mexico have fallen faster than just about anywhere else on the planet. So the future is more likely to be something like The Machine Stops, Oryx and Crake, or Children of Men than some stupid neo-Malthusian garbage movie starring MATT DAMON.
