Will a price cut and another year or so on the market be able to push the Wii past the PS?

[Seece]

spurgeonryan said:

Seece said:

spurgeonryan said:
Well after looking at the tools section of this site, it seems that November - late December of last year the Wii pushed out about 2 million units.
A strong price cut, could keep that from dropping too much.
Then 20-25 thousand world wide for another 100 weeks?
I think it is like Seece says, depends on how long it is out. Nintendo has kept the DS going despite it selling really bad. I think maybe they are waiting for a Christmas Price cut now that the 3DS is doing great it should not hurt it much. Then kill it off around E3 or something.
But if stays out for another 100 weeks at least, that would mean another Christmas as well.
So it seems plausible still. If's and maybe's....

I didn't really say that, I think it'll be discontinued by early 2015 at latest.

I was only agreeing with part of what you said.

 

So 70-90 weeks, or maybe E-3 time frame? Which would include 2 Christmas's.

 

What do you think about those Wikipedia numbers? Can they be trusted?

100.04 for Wii according to them, and PS1 is considerably smaller than what we have here.

http://www.nintendo.co.jp/ir/library/historical_data/pdf/consolidated_sales_e1306.pdf

Wii has about 2.5m~ to ship to overtake PS1. Nintendo have forecast 2m thos FY, but they haven't hit (or even got near) a FY forecast in years, I'm pretty sure they're deceiving investors or they're very naive about their hardwares chances/success. The latter is more worrying. So yeah, it's not hitting 2m this FY. It's dead in Japan, and it's selling in worse in Europe/elsewhere than in the US, which is currently it's top market.

I reckon this is how Wii shipments will pan out from now on

Q3 - 200k
Q4 - 800k
Q1 - 150k
Q2 - 100k
Q3 - 50k
Q4 - 200k
Discontinued

For a grand total of around 101.9m~