Are the US preorders numbers for next-gen games predictive for next-gen console sales?

[bevochan]

AnthonyW86 said:

bevochan said:

iceboy151 said:

areason said:
holy shit the pre orders of this week....

Yeah, I just saw that. I'm guessing there's just more PS4 bundles available.

 

Far as I know, there isn't a COD Ghosts PS4 bundle here in the US.  COD games predominantly sell better on the xbox consoles (almost treated like a Xbox exclusive by Microsoft), but PS4 version of Ghosts is doing much better.  VGChartz may not be accurate, but it can't be that far off.  The PS4 version outsold the Xbox1 version almost 7 to 1 this week, and it's also way up for total preorders.  This may be foreshadowing how the next-gen consoles will be this holiday.

 

15

Call of Duty: Ghosts (PS4) Activision, Shooter

22

20,843

66,548

29

Call of Duty: Ghosts (XOne) Activision, Shooter

22

3,059

45,749

They really don't sell that much better on x360 actually. You have to take in to account that the 360 has a much larger install base in the U.S. than the PS3. Currently in the U.S.  Black Ops 2 has an attach rate of 0.17 on 360 and 0.165 on PS3, that's not a big difference. And since Call of Duty is by far the most popular in the U.S. that's why the 360 version always outsells the PS3 version.

Actually if PS4 is say pre-ordered 2:1 compared to XOne is Ghosts is doing fairly well on XOne.

My point isn't that COD Ghosts XOne isn't doing well.  My point is that the COD Ghosts XOne preorders are likely predictive of the XOne console pre-orders (likely substantially lagging behind PS4).