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Soundwave said:

I would guess right now

3DS (hardware) - 95 million LTD

Mario Kart 7 - 11 million LTD

Animal Crossing: NL - 8 million LTD

Higher numbers on MK7/AC if Nintendo starts to force bundle them with hardware.



Without bundle, i think your highly underestimating both games, especially MK7. First AC is currently over 5.4mil sales w/o the holiday in US, so this year only the game should be over 7mil lifetime. MK7 is over 8mil and should most likely end up with 9.5mil-10mil sales. Userbase of 3DS should have a huge increase due to pokemon so it could be more. Also MK+NSMB have the longest legs of every game made. MK7 will sell no lower than 1mil a year for at least another 3 years (not including 2013).