HikenNoAce said:
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Pokemon is highly likely to make it over 20m. Considering piracy wont be an issue and it is releasing same day globally, I am sure that could do well for keeping numbers high. Not only that, but many people who left Pokemon because a lot of the older ones felt the same should be coming back considering the vast amounts of new things, including a large part in Internet connectivity this time around (you can actually send custom messages to people and battle anywhere).
It is also getting a heavy amount of advertising in Japan, and most likely going to sometime soon get it in the USA. Just think about it like that, and you'll see that it definitely is NOT ridiculous to think that the game will do well. It also will be downloadable, so even if it sells out, people can download it.
Other than that, I think that games with long legs have a chance, but no guarantees. Games like NSMB2 and Super Mario 3D Land. They are already over 5m and sell a good bit every week, regardless of being released a long time ago.








