June 2013 NPD Thread! - 360:140k, 3DS:225k

[outlawauron]

DirtyP2002 said:

pezus said:

DirtyP2002 said:

 

I was banned for 3 days, because I said the Vita is dead and I don't want to get banned again, but I don't see any positive news for it.
Sony basically skipped it at E3 and even the most vocal and hardcore Sony fans on VGC just ignore it as if it never released. It is selling 5k a week in the USA. And Sonys own forecast is like 4 million globally for the entire year. That is just horrible.

Do you think Sony might discontinue it afterall?

Definitely not. At worst it will be reduced to a PS4 peripheral. At best the PS4 integration will keep it afloat

LoL that is even worse than to discontinue it... Talking about a slow death.
"Hey your handheld won't get any new games, but you can use it as a controller for a console you might not even own."

 

And the 2nd sentence is wishful thinking IMO. Look at the PS Move and how well this optional input device did. And that was $149 less than a Vita.

And how many PS4 will be sold in the first year? Let's be ridiculously bullish here and assume 20 million consoles sold in 12 months and not a single one of them owns a Vita yet. What percentage of those users will buy a $249 controller for a $399 console? 10%, 15%? So we are looking at 2 - 3 million additional Vitas at the very very very best scenario.

I think the Vita won't get any real software support as soon as late 2014. In other words, my prediction is that the Vita will be basically dead in 18 months from now.

*disclaimer* I am not trying to piss anyone off! This is MY prediction and you are free to disagree. Please don't ban me for this.

But Vita will likely still get Japanese support, so it'll become a haven for JRPGs, Strategy, and Action games like the 360 was for SHMUPs and VNs. 

Also, it's not difficult to do PS3/Vita versions of games, unless you don't consider that real software support.