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Nope, not gonna happen.  With literally everything going for them this time out, they still couldnt beat the PS3 and the clusterfuck of problems.

Think about it.

  • The 360 launched 12-18 Months earlier
  • The 360 has been far cheaper the entire generation
  • The 360 was easy to develop for, while the PS3 was a nightmare for developers. Meaning better multiplats for the 360
  • The 360 got the Kinect boost, because it was "new" tech
  • The 360 was the go to online console, due to the superior online and pack-in headset

They literally have none of those advantages this time out. Theyre launching at the same time. The PS4 is cheaper. The PS4 is a dream to develop for. Kinect is no longer new and hyped. The PS4 has a "headset" while the One relies on Kinect in the box.

Ill counter your points in the OP anyway.

  • The Xbox brand is really only strong in America and Britain. Outside of these areas, the brand really isnt that strong at all.
  • Microsft had Billions to spend when they launched the Xbox. It finished a distant 2nd. Microsoft had Billions to spend when they launched the 360. Theyre currently in last place. Having Billions to spend doesnt mean the product will "win".
  • Is this the same concrete plan that they recently did a 180 on? 

The brand isnt strong enough outside of America and Britain. Theyre gonna get stomped. Its gonna be brutal.

Thats the Xbox out of the way, Ill move onto your PS4 points now.

 

  • The most powerful console has never before been cheaper than the competition, while at the same time recieving brilliant support from 1st parties and 3rd parties. This is an anomoly and it cant be used as a negative against the PS4. Its a silly point.
  • "Doing things different" isnt necessarily the key to success. I think this is a silly point.
  • Sony really dont need to get into a price war, because the system is already far cheaper than the Xbox One and the Wii U is struggling as it is due to a lack of support. The pricing for the machine is perfect and Sony should be able to hold the $399 tag for at least 2 Years, providing support stays strong for the console (It will).

I think youre grasping at straws by pointing at history really.

Now, to move onto the Wii U

  • Wii U Party wont do shit in the grand scheme of things, because the controller doesnt appeal to the mass market. The only way a Pokemon will sell the Wii U in a meaningful way, will be if Nintendo finally push out a proper Pokemon game for the console - This wont happen. We are more likely to get Pokemon Snap U
  • Nintendo have the biggest games, yes. Its not the names that sell though, its the experience. Wii Sports on WIi U will be a totally different experience to Wii Sports on Wii It wont have the appeal.
  • Price means nothing without support - The WIi U doesnt have meaningful support.

Right.

In all seriousness, I think the order will be PS4 >> Xbox One > Wii U

PS4 > 100 Million
Xbox One ~50 Million
Wii U ~ 40 Million