zorg1000 said:
would say that is a perfectly legitimate (if slightly optimistic) sales breakdown. It really does require Nintendo to be on the ball regarding advertising for 3-4 times the sales for Aug - Oct though, and given their current neglect I wonder if they are holding back for a certain game or something in particular. Are any of those Aug-Oct games strong enough to build a campaign around, or are they going to try and explain what a Wii U is in general again?
Also, are Nintendo consoles quite front loaded in terms of sales or was that just the Wii? I know they don't bother with long generations so will only be selling the Wii U for 5-6 years, meaning every bad year has more of an effect on total sales. It's just something to consider, as they have less time to catch up compared to Sony or MS.
As for the PS4/One, they probably won't have quite the tough time the Wii U has had (at least not both). I think the Wii U lost a chunk of Wii owners that switched to PS360 in 2011/12, while Sony/MS don't have the same issue as there hasn't been much incentive for PS360 owners to get a Wii U. This combined with quite a long generation are the advantages they have, as is the price compared to last gen (for Sony at least). But yes, continued PS360 support is a disadvantage so it could go either way.
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I dont think theres any one huge game to center the campaign around but those 5 exclusives put together should be enough to garner a decent amount of attention. They may also benefit by showing off some of the exclusivr features in ads like off-screen play, assymetrical gameplay, Miiverse, TVii, free online. Literally anything would be better than the launch campaign where theu only showed Mario and played dubstep.
I wouldnt necessarily say Nintendo consoles are front loaded in terms of sales. Wii best year was 08, GC-03, N64-I think 98, so the 2nd full year then sales steadily decline for the next 2-3 years.
And ya ill admit im a bit optimistic but at least its not just blind faith and I have a few decent reasons why I think they will make a nice comeback, im guessing 40-50 million lifetime.
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I agree with a lot of what you have said and I have changed my first post accordingly. I honestly hope that your optimism pays off and the Wii U has a good run.
