WiiU will sell better than Gamecube.

[Gamerace]

DFC Intelligence had some ridiculous projections back at the start of the last gen so I don't give their estimates any credance.

Originally (last spring) I projected WiiU with 30m lifetime sales (and everyone said I was crazy and way too low). Now, that guess is looking way over-optimistic. While I'm sure sales will pick up over the current tripid level, but great games will simply come too late and WiiU started at too high a price point (for what it's offering) for it to ever become in demand. Add an overall shrinking market and greater competition in the field and even hitting 20m seems highly optimistic to me now.

I think Nintendo realizes it's made some fundimentally bad mistakes with WiiU. I think they've known it pre-launch but were too committed to change course. However, the question remains how long do they stay with WiiU? My guess is if sales don't turn around - dramatically - by Mario Kart 8 dropping, WiiU will have the shortest lifespan of any Nintendo console. Fact is the market is changing radically and if Nintendo is to ever have another hit home console or home/portable console it needs to be released sooner rather than later. So if WiiU/3DS continue to underperform I project a new Nintendo system in 2016 to compete more directly with PS4/XB1 and to also more significantly differeniate from them than WiiU does from PS3/360.

Consequently WiiU's lifetime sales will be cut even shorter. Probably