If, and this is a big if, Nintendo can continue a consistent line up through-out 2014 and 2015, I'd say Wii U could potentially be in the region of SNES level sales.
However, given Nintendo's complete mismanagement of the console transition, and their inability to ensure a consistent stream of software during the first two years of 3DS's life in the West, I'm not optimistic the Wii U can do much better than the N64. Nintendo have largely wasted the first year of the Wii U because of whatever internal problems have led to software delays, an inability to expand more aggressively, and an inability to effectively (for whatever reason) court more significant, sustained third party support. All these factors, combined with a high price and poor or non-existent marketing, have led to what have to be recognised as terrible post-launch sales.
Without a steady stream of software, Wii U isn't going to take off much better than the GameCube or N64. I'm a hugely dedicated fan of Nintendo's output, but they haven't sold Wii U to me yet. If it's going to take Nintendo so long and longer to convince their dedicated following that Wii U is worth owning, they're going to struggle terribly to reach a wider audience. A weak Nintendo is bad news for the industry in general, and I worry about whether or Nintendo have the capability to turn Wii U into anything more than a niche success.
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