Anybody who's known me on VGC, probably knows me notoriously for underpredicting Gran Turismo 5's sales. I recall I predicted 8.5 million, and now it's looking to hit 11 million soon.
However GT5 is a 3 year old game now, and almost went on record as the only GT game for the PS3....well until now.
Gran Turismo 6 releases in Q3 2013, but will it break 10 million units sold like every other GT game other then GT2?
Predict Lifetime and Week 1 sales!
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Things to consider:
PS4 is releasing around the same time with DriveClub. This could hurt sales, not only because of competition between the two 1st party games, but because GT6 could release after the launch of the PS4. GT6 would be the first GT game to release after a successor console was announced. GT4 released 2 years before the PS3 in Europe, and just a bit less in NA.
GT2 was the lowest selling GT game, and it released only 10 months before the launch of the PS2 in NA and Europe.
PS2 was backward compatible with PS1, so GT2 was playable on PS2 systems, same with GT4 and PS3, but GT6 will not be playable on a PS4.
This is also one of Sony's last 1st party games for the PS3, so that could help sales (or hurt it) since people who don't upgrade to an 8th gen console won't have as many games to debate between.
I've been horribly wrong before, so don't listen to any of my arguements.
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I'll be keeping track of predictions, I'll even wage bets!
My prediction is 8.5-10 million lifetime , if I had to be specific, 9.5 million. I think week 1 sales will be slightly higher then GT5's at 2.6 million. Quote me on this if you like, lets see if my prediction capabilities have improved over the 3 years I've been here.
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