I think people saying the MGS series is in decline sales-wise are misinformed.
MGS1 and MGS2 essentially sold the same, close to 6 million.
MGS3 sold about 4 mil. The drop in sales can be attributed to huge competition (Launched in same time frame as Halo and GTA, which explains the lower US sales), and the fact that it was a prequel with a new cast of characters.
MGS4 is the last in the series. Traditionally, in most forms of media, the finale of a series sells the best. People want to see how things end, that's a given.
Add the fact that MGS4 adds TONS of gameplay improvements and innovations, is the first on the PS3, as well as significantly more hyped than the other MGS titles, and I wouldn't be surprised if MGS4 moves more copies than any of its predecessors have.
MGS4 wins this one, although it should be relatively close.
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