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Gears 2 will sale more overall. Xbox 360 has a bigger install base plus Microsoft will spend lots on advertisment.
MGS4 will sell more proportionally. i mean like for example 30% of ps3 owners will buy MGS4, while 25% of Xbox 360 owners will have Gears of War 2.

IDK, GOW2 could even sell more porportionally. but i doubt it