As always with these pre-order charts, a massive grain of salt to be taken with any numbers given.
TLOU does seem low here, but I still expect it to do well enough.
On the flip side, I think Xillia & Animal Crossing are too high. Probably Kingdom Hearts & SMTIV too.
I also have a hard time believing Wii Fit U has 25k pre-orders (it doesn't strike me as targeting a demographic that would pre-order games) nor that The Last Guardian is still getting pre-orders (FF XV at E3 should've taught people about that).
Also, I hope Rune Factory 4 & Muramasa do well. I didn't realise they were both coming out so soon!