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PS4 will outsell the Xbone, yeah. By quite a margin. But 3:1? Unlikely.

If we mean first "full" year (launch aligned) including launch (so November-November) I see neither console getting over 8mil for that year. So the Xbone would have to sell below 2.7mil in its first year, including the launch period, for it to sell 1/3rd of the PS4 numbers.

For comparison, the Wii U is currently near 3.2mil, with 5 and a half months still to go. So you can see how much of an absolute disaster it would have to be.

 

I think MS will still win America, with Sony dominating in Japan and Europe. Nintendo could take Japan and close the gap in Europe, however. So 7.5mil for PS4 and 4.8mil for Xbone.



 

Here lies the dearly departed Nintendomination Thread.