So now that PS3 overtaking 360 is a matter of weeks, how long until it reaches Wii?

[Otakumegane]

pezus said:

Otakumegane said:

pezus said:

Otakumegane said:
It honestly depends on 1 thing and 1 thing only.

China. Calling it now, if China opens by late 2014 then yeah. The rest of the developing markets are too small (yes even Brazil)

PS3 won't have the same legs as PS2, it's impossible to have em.

As I've repeatedly said: Why does everyone think PS3 needs PS2 legs for this to happen? PS2 went from about 100m to 160m. PS3 only needs to go from ~83-4m to 101m or so

I don't think the price of PS3 can drop enough to be at the "Developing market" range. The Cell and stuff. PS3 is also a lot harder to pirate.

And Bluray isn't a huge selling point in those markets, you'd need an HDTV 1st to truly get the experience. I don't think a lot of there people there have HDTVs. The must've had regular TVs for PS2 though.

And that's the thing, if you don't have an HDTV, why need an HD console? 

FIFA, Gran Turismo, CoD and other reasons

Those aren't as big in developing markets. No good online means online multiplayer is useless. They sell about 1-2 million in the rest of the world.

And 2 of those are multiplatform. It's not like PS2 which had exclusive after exclusive to sell the console, 360 has all the games as PS3 now as well. And 360 being cheaper. There's a lot more competition.

What people keep seemingly forgetting is that while the Xbox and GC weren't supported very well late in the lifecycle, the PS3 has competition by 360 whith will get the multiplats.

The marginal utility isn't there in the developing markets, especially when they don't have all the stuff to completely benefit from PS3. Who can use multimedia there?

The exception this rule is China. They already have everything set to maximize the utility of an HD console, just laws prevent them from being sold. Which is why I keep saying it depends on when and if China decides to start allowing consoles to be sold there in the future. And even then, it would have to be before the PS4 and 720 really catch on so late 2014 or bust.