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Soundwave on 16 May 2013
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JGarret said:
Soundwave said:

I think the US market is basically going to be all about the PS4 vs 720 in the next five years with a side market of 3DS which is about 1/2 or 1/3 or what the DS used to do here.

Wii U and Vita will be irrelevant.

And even PS4/720 I think will be slow burn products with slow starts after the early adopters get theirs.

The 8th generation will probably be known for its big market contraction.

Yup. I think it's generally an entertainment backlog ... people are in effect saturated by entertainment options these days. A tablet, smartphone, Netflix, their PVR + hundreds of cable/satelite channels, Youtube, social networking sites, dozens of eBooks, video games, smartphone games for $1, new blockbuster movies opening every weekend, etc. etc.

There's too much for people to watch, read, listen to, play, etc. and they don't have enough time. Traditional video games that require 15-60 hours of a person's time and go for $50-$60 a pop are going to the be hit hard I think.