| thismeintiel said: Is there a reason people are posting that the numbers are biased, yet give neither a reason why or there own estimates? Can I assume you have no other reasons other than wishful thinking? Yea, I think I'll go with that. |
Well, mainly the fact that the 3DS is outselling the Wii U by around 5:1, and yet only has 2x as much stock on shelves yet both are "close to reality" for one. That and the fact that VGC is saying the PS3 is outselling the 360 also by around 50% on a weekly basis, and yet should for some reason have the same amount of stock on shelves. This seems unlikely; I would imagine the PS3 would have more stock on shelves, closer to 1.5mil (giving a supply of around 11 weeks, compared to the 14 weeks if we use the 1.2mil for the 360. If we look at 12 weeks being about right, it would mean the Wii U would have around 400k on shelves and the 3DS 1.4mil, though admitaddly handhelds are slightly different so we can't read much into that).
In addition, your prediction that the PS2 "only" sold 3mil last Fiscal year is somewhat erroneous. I would imagine it would be closer to 3.5, if not 4mil. As far as I'm concerned, Sony will say something when the PS3 outships the 360, so a more likely shipment number is 77mil maximum.
Taking all this into account, I'd say it should read more like:
Wii U- Slightly undertracked (Around 200k)
3DS- Slightly overtracked (Around 300k)
360- Undertracked (Around 1mil)
PS3- Undertracked (Around 1.3mil)
I agree with everything else you said, however. Overall, pretty fair predictions and these are my own, and thus I shalln't defend them if they come under attack by other members.
