Sony Lost The Console War In North America.

[TruckOSaurus]

pezus said:

Wright said:

I'm not arguing against that. I'm just saying PS3's sales will dry far quicker than with the PS2.

Not necessarily:

 

PlayStation®2 Worldwide Hardware Unit Sales (Unit: million)

 

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	FY(*)
FY2006	2.3	3.4	6.7	2.4	14.8
FY2007	2.7	3.2	5.4	2.4	13.7
FY2008	1.5	2.5	2.5	1.4	7.9
FY2009	1.6	1.9	2.1	1.7	7.3
FY2010	1.6	1.5	2.1	1.2	6.4

 

( * Fiscal Year ended March 31)

 

http://scei.co.jp/corporate/data/bizdataps2_sale_e.html">http://web.archive.org/web/20110722095024/http://scei.co.jp/corporate/data/bizdataps2_sale_e.html

FY2006 for PS2 is equivalent to FY2012 for PS3 (6 years after release). That's 14.8m compared to around 14m PS3s. FY2007 vs. FY2013 will be 13.7m vs. a likely 10-11m. FY2008 vs. FY2014 will be 7.9m vs. a likely 7-8m. FY2009 vs. FY2015 will be 7.3m vs. a likely 5-6m. FY2010 vs. FY2016 will be 6.4m vs. a likely 3-4m and so on. I see the PS3 selling at least 20m after PS4 has come out. PS2 did way more, but that's partly because PS3 came out only 6 years after PS2 had released, while PS4 will come 7 years after PS3.

 

PS3 in its later years is relatively much stronger than it was in the earlier years as compared to PS2.

2006 for PS2 is also the first year it was sold along with its successor. So in 2012, the PS3 sold less units than the PS2 even without a successor to eat away at its sales like the PS2 had.

If the PS3 manages 11m in the year where its successor is released (2013) that shows that the PS3 will have much smaller "after successor" sales than the PS2.