It pretty much depends if the rumors of the next Xbox being also a cable box come to fruition and whether to make strategic alliances in the US with Cable providers. If they do that the Xbox could "win" things on number of units "sold" very easily. If not I see this generation being a lot smaller than last gen with all three in the 70 million area. Not that the market "shrunk" I just think we will not see the number being inflated by RROD/YROD type of incident not that there will not be any bricked systems just that they will be a lot smaller instances. Because with those I think the unit that "sold" for each company would be significantly lower this gen. And I think the poor economy will play a part in keeping the numbers this gen low also.
But if Microsoft does like those rumor suggest the next Xbox could easily sell 200+ million on virtue of being installed as a cable box with "gaming features", but I doubt it will have little impact on the software side of things.
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