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What MS has accomplished without sales in Japan is impressive. COD became a de facto exclusive on top of all of the other exclusives. It also became the go-to console for casuals after the Wii faded.

While RROD is a big issue, it obviously didn't have that big of an effect considering warranty and the attach rate, and that they have sold tens of millions more games than the PS3.

I am also not sure that either console will be supported as long as the PS2 was. One of the reasons the original Xbox was dropped so quickly was the mandatory hard drive. It made it difficult to sell cheap enough for it to be worth it. In addition, a larger proportion of Xbox fans were hardcore and thus more likely to switch to the 360 immediately. On the other hand, both HD consoles have a more PS2-like mix of hardcore and casual gamers and prices have not fallen as much as they had at this point in the last generation, so there is a larger chance of continued support for both machines.