osed125 said:
Max King of the Wild said:
osed125 said:
You do realize that almost all consoles (PS3, Vita, 360, 3DS) underpreforms their first year? So your logic applies to pretty much every single console in history. When I think about it the only exceptions where companies didn't lowered their estimates during their first year were the PS2 and the Wii.
@bold: Would you please link to poster actually saying the Wii U will sell the same numbers as the Wii? Every since the Wii U announcement I have only seen like 2 or 3 poster saying that the system will sell the same. Every sane person here (including Nintendo fans) know the system will never touch Wii numbers (unless a miracle happens).
Also you haven't respond the question as to why MK 7 and Mario 3D Land sold so well (and are still selling).
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I said it won't even come close to the Wii's sales. I didn't say people were claiming it would match Wii's sales. But people have said (less so now with reality sinking in) that the Wii U will sell well being close to matching the Wii's sales. I don't think I need to trudge through last years threads to find any.
Also, yeah... Ps3 and 360 sold about 5million their first year on the market. I was really being generous saying under 5mil for the Wii U... more likely than not it will be closer to 3.8mil. I just wanted to leave some breathing room for myself. I never said my logic didn't apply to those systems but it doesn't mean the Wii U is fine right now. And the Wii U is not suffering from either of the problems the 360 and Ps3 suffered from. High price, Japan not wanting 360, and supply constrained
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Like I mentioned before all consoles suffer from 1 big thing: no games. Keep in mind the Wii U already has the record of longest time without a new game release (finally Lego and Monster Hunter will launch this week), so obviously the system will have a heavy drop, we will see if only 2 games are able to make the system sell (hint: they won't).
The 360 may have been on supply constraints but I highly doubt those "constraints" lasted one whole year (the system finally started to pick up with Gears of Wars), same with the PS3 (the one that help the system was MGS4).
Like I already said, if Mario Kart nor 3D Mario don't help the system then we will know for sure the system will share the same faith as the N64 and GC, that won't happen imo because those games are very popular (I start to sound like a broke record here).
Also no way the system will sell less than 4m during it's first year (unless Nintendo is stupid enough to not release their big guns this year).
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At the end of this month it will already be in two quarters. Those 2 quarters are bigger than the next two quarters. Nintendo is struggling with shipping one million this quarter. Sell through will be less than 3 million at the end of the quarter. You are telling me you think nintendo will sell over 1.4 more million in the slowest time of the year? Which averages 55k a week when it gets 55k in 4 weeks in US?
