January 2013 NPD Thread - 360: 281k, Wii U: 57k, PSV: 35k

[TheSource]

outlawauron said:

TheSource said:

ethomaz said:

shanbcn said:
Did source just say 160k Wii? No wonder he doesnt write for this site anymore.

He is mad because the new record sales for Wii U.

I was basing off Microsoft claiming 44% share of current consoles. I took that as Wii, X360, PS3. X360 was 281k, so 356k for Wii & PS3. X360 dropped by 17% on a weekly basis, so I dropped PS3 and Wii by 17% on a weekly basis from last year and then added in the extra week.

Can you really use that equation? The Wii is no longer supported while the PS3 and 360 still get new titles every week. Wii is obviously going to drop much harder (although, the very cheap price tag has kept from going super low).

That's the thing though, on a percentage basis X360 / PS3 almost always drop by identical rates in normal situations (with PS3 performing far worse obviously), so if that's true and PS3 did 39k a week (down from 47k, down 18%) on a weekly basis, then Wii was likely at 160k - that's still way down on last year and very low for a five week month (~90k in Dec to ~30k in Jan), especially since January is probably the third or fourth strongest month of the year on a weekly basis. 

At the very least, it's pretty likely Wii outsold Wii U for the month. I think VGC was just off on the Wii / Wii U split. 32,000 a week in January for Wii would indicate a year around 900,000 - 1.4m which seems realistic to me. If it's doing 32,000 now, it will get down 10,000 a week in the Summer or lower without a price cut, and then perk up one final time to 200,000 a month in Nov or Dec.