PS2 is now discontinued after 12 Years.

[Michael-5]

thismeintiel said:

I guess this is why people predict sales. When Wii released, I'm sure most people didn't expect it to become the best selling console this gen, and potentially overtake PS1. People thought PS3 would crash at the start, or surpass the 360 well before 2008, and every year people make predictions for the year.

I for instance did not realize Wii sales would crash so hard like they did in 2011. I thought Wii would have surpassed PS1 by now, but now I am not entirely sure.

If DS begins to fall harder, like it did when 3DS was released, and be down YoY 60%, then even if PS2 is discontinued, you probably are right DS won't surpass PS2.

In my scenario, where DS is down 30-40% YoY for the next 3 years, DS could surpass PS2 IFF PS2 has been discontinued.

Anything could happen, like GBA, DS sales could crash in 2013, and it could be discontinued by 2014. Or DS could follow a pattern more similar to PS2 and taper off. DS won't sell 50 million units after being replaced like PS2 did, and it doesn't have as much support in Latin America, but it's already at 15 million post 3DS, what's anohter 5-10 million more?

Anything can happen.

 

Care to make a bet like I did with ethomaz?