Will Animal Crossing face the same fate as Nintendogs or Brain Training?

[Otakumegane]

Aielyn said:

Otakumegane said:

NintendoPie said:

Otakumegane said:

It will do decently, I'm sure. The problem is will there be a loss in sold units like the other 2 once huge "casual" titles. I don't see it reaching 2mil numbers like the last one.

I think New Leaf should be able to get 1.5 to 2.0 Million sales in America. Again, based on marketing.

How was Nintendogs marketed? 1.5 to 2mil is a little high, I'd say 1.2 mil max.

Based on what? What is your justification, your reasoning, for your prediction of Animal Crossing: New Leaf selling no more than 1.2 million copies in America? And don't throw words like "casual" at me, that's not justification, that's hardcore elitism. I want solid reasoning.

My reasoning? Ok.

1.The sharp decline of other titles aimed at the 3DS female base. (Nintendogs, Brain Age isnt out yet, but I don't think it'll do anywhere near the original numbers.) Oh uhh Style Savvy?

2. The purchase of NL by mostly JP females, who make up 31% of all 3ds owners. The female base of NA should be lower, like way lower. I have not seen 31% install bases here.

3.Marketing, marketing, marketing. If Nintendo can market this well, it'll sell well. Considering the need for some better WiiU marketing and more focus in that are for the upcoming months, I doubt we'll see many commercials for an AC game.