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thismeintiel said:
newwil7l said:
It looks like the DS will outsell PS2 very soon then. There is now way Nintendo will discontinue the DS or the Wii anytime soon. They really want the Wii to pass the PlayStation and the DS to pass the PS2. They want those records and they aren't going to give up until they get them.

The DS, on the other hand, is not going to be selling for another 3 years (the time its going to need to pass it if the PS2 was disconintued today, which it isn't).  It'll probably only reached 154M shipped as of the end of 2012, which is still lower than the PS2's shipment numbers from March 2012.  By the end of 2012, I would estimate the PS2 to be ~157.5M.  The DS saw a decrease of ~61% next year, so even if the rate of decline stays flat this year, that would still only put the number at ~155.5M, which is still only 400K over the PS2's number from March 2012.  In other words, it ain't happening.

PS2 has sold 156.7 million now and has shipped 157.3 million. So if PS2 was discontinued like the link says, then DS needs to sell only 3.5 million units to top PS2. DS sold 3.5 million units in 2012.

So, with the rate it's falling, it's likely to break 1 million in USA alone for Q4 (hasn't dropped much this quarter, in this region for over a year). In Japan it's dead, and we can only expect 1 million from Europe. So DS should sell 2-2.5 million units in 2013, and then it would just need 1-1.5 million units for 2014, which is very very possible.

Also note that DS's rate of decline has flattened out now that 3DS has established itself. Comparing this weeks sales to the same time last week, DS only fell 37%, and that number is dropping with every week. Still, assuming a 40% decline, that means DS will sell about 1.225 million units less then 2012, which means 2.225 million sold (like I estiamted above lol). Then DS just needs 1.225 to tie PS2.



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