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OceanJ on 09 January 2013
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OceanJ said:

In preparation for the Q3 & Annual Reports here's a consolidation of the good & bad for Nintendo - on the numbers:

  Projection April 1 2012 - March 2013 As of December 29th My Estimate
Wii U Hardware 5.5 Million 2.45 Million 4.75 Million (Miss by 750K)
Wii U Software 24 Million 5 Million 15 Million (Miss by 9 Million)
3DS Hardware 17.5 Million 10.97 Million 15 Million (Miss by 2.5 Milion)
3DS Software 70 Million 32.48 Million 55 Million (Miss by 15 Million)
Wii Hardware 5 Million 3.57 Million 5.2 Million (Exceed by 200k)
Wii Software 50.5 Million 57.78 Million 80 Million (Exceed by 29.5 Million)
DS Hardware 2.5 Million 2.8 Million 3.8 Million (Exceed by 1.3 Million)
DS Software 37 Million 35.5 Million

43 Million (Exceed by 6 Million)

 

I was taking another look at these numbers I posted earlier and reconsidered my estimates.

To Nintendo a console shipped to retail is a console sold.  That's what they project in their reports, 5.5 million U's shipped to retail.

With 2.45 m Wii U's sold at retail - there was 500k on store shelves on 12/29, so Nintendo's actually closer to 3 million on the 3rd quarter - and my little original chart is wrong. 

If that's right - retail sales should be 5m by 3/31, for Ninty to be at 5.5m on the Fiscal Year.  That's 166,666 consoles a week to reach 5.5m and hit Annual goal, totally doable.

Does this sound right?  Did I completely F' up my chart & estimates for Wii U hardware...and if I did, did I also F' up the 3DS, Wii, & DS estimates???